Air Force vs Fresno State 11/24/2012

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Fresno State is a solid favorite with a 74% chance to beat Air Force. Robbie Rouse is projected for 134 rushing yards and a 70% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26% of simulations where Air Force wins, Connor Dietz averages 0.97 TD passes vs 0.41 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.55 TDs to 0.54 interceptions. Cody Getz averages 95 rushing yards and 0.91 rushing TDs when Air Force wins and 88 yards and 0.55 TDs in losses. Fresno State has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FREST -16.5
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